The Atlanta Braves (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on Friday, March 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Braves vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Braves are 2-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 8-2 ATS.
Braves vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+2.70 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Rene Pinto has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 140 games (+23.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 116 games (+22.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 133 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 away games (+12.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 57 away games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 2-6 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -52.94% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -21.3% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 19.66% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -27.43% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 8-2 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 58.1% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 4.24% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 15.6% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -23.42% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ian Anderson allowed an OBP of .476 (103 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 0 Percentile.
Ian Anderson allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (60 Total Bases / 88 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .437 — first Percentile.
Ian Anderson has a strike rate of just 61% (2,542/4,180) since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Ian Anderson allowed an OPS of 1.158 (103 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .757 — 0 Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs threw his changeup 44% of the time (725/1,656) against right-handed batters last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs threw his changeup 42% of the time (180/430) with runners in scoring position last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs threw his changeup 38% of the time (159/415) when behind in the count last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.