The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Braves are 20-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 16-17 ATS.

Braves vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 2-0, 3.77 ERA
• Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 2-1, 4.68 ERA

Braves vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.20 Units / 61% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+13.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.20 Units / 127% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Andy Pages has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 60% ROI)
• Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• Andy Pages has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 52% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 76 of their last 134 games (+19.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 14-15 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -2.58% ROI).

• 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 8.55% ROI
• 11-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -20.03% ROI
• 16-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 12.27% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 16-17 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -8.26% ROI).

• 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -7.58% ROI
• 18-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 7.51% ROI
• 14-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -16.05% ROI

Dodgers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have no hits on elevated fastballs in 15 AB’s against Charlie Morton this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (130/288) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (298/826) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 59 of 590 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (11/45) against Gavin Stone against right-handed batters this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 97th Percentile.

Gavin Stone has allowed an OBP of .460 (50 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .313 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (16/40) against Gavin Stone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (4/22) against Gavin Stone with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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