The San Diego Padres (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Padres are 16-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 15-17 ATS.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 3-2, 2.78 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 1-1, 2.25 ERA

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+20.30 Units / 107% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+13.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.15 Units / 84% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+17.50 Units / 292% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.95 Units / 80% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 53% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.75 Units / 79% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 131 games (+12.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 16-18 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.88% ROI).

• 16-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -9.59% ROI
• 18-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 4.88% ROI
• 15-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -13.19% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 15-17 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -9.3% ROI).

• 14-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -16.58% ROI
• 13-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -19.46% ROI
• 18-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 11% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .225 (138 PAs) this season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 95th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 68 of 637 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .090 (6-for-67) against Dylan Cease this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.

6 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Slade Cecconi this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.

Slade Cecconi has allowed an OBP of just .163 (43 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.

Slade Cecconi has allowed an OPS of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .662 — 97th Percentile.

Slade Cecconi has allowed an OPS of just .382 (43 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .698 — 99th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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