The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Braves are 28-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 26-24 ATS.
Braves vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: AJ Smith-Shawver 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 1-1, 3.57 ERA
Braves vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+15.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+14.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+14.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+12.05 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+17.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games at home (+11.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 32 games (+20.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.25 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 33 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 46 games (+1.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 23-23 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 2.22% ROI).
- 28-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 15-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -32.94% ROI
- 29-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.5 Units / 24.49% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 26-24 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -4.71% ROI).
- 27-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 8.64% ROI
- 21-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -18.13% ROI
- 28-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 8.83% ROI
Cubs vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Cubs vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cubs vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +135 |
| AJ Smith-Shawver (ATL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Brown has a strikeout rate of 67% (24 SO in 36 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (28/45) against Ben Brown vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Ben Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 94.1 MPH this season (93 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 89.1