Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are back in the Super Bowl for a third time in 6 seasons with the Kansas City Chiefs. This game will be built up as the “Andy Reid Bowl” since he is going up against his old team in the Philadelphia Eagles. It will also be hailed as the “Kelce Bowl,” as Travis and Jason are facing off.
For me, this matchup is clear: experience vs inexperience. This Super Bowl reminds me of Super Bowl LIII between the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams. The Rams were the hottest team in the NFL that year with wiz kid head coach Sean McVay and an explosive offense led by Jared Goff and Todd Gurley. The result? New England won 13-3. While I do not think the score will be similar, the overall theme should translate. One team has been here multiple times and knows what to expect; the other could be taken aback by the moment and shrink. There are two weeks of press and media obligations for both teams, so it is very easy to be distracted. For Mahomes and Kelce, this is their third Super Bowl. Their last trip ended in defeat, but they have lifted the Lombardi Trophy before and will be eager to do it again. I will always side with experience in these moments assuming the two teams are somewhat close in talent. The Chiefs are +1.5 and have a distinct edge in QB and head coach R 12; the two most important roles.
For now, though, it’s time to focus on individual player props.
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