The Houston Astros (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-125) on Tuesday, September 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:05pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Astros vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 86-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 74-82 ATS.
Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 63.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+13.20 Units / 132% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.55 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+15.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games at home (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| George Kirby | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 74 away games (+15.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 away games (+15.38 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 41 away games (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 74 away games (+11.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 55 games (+12.39 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+9.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 76 games (+7.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 78-79 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -1.7% ROI).
- 86-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.3 Units / -7.65% ROI
- 82-72 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 0.97% ROI
- 72-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.1 Units / -10.02% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 74-82 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -7.21% ROI).
- 84-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -3.98% ROI
- 79-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI
- 72-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.2 Units / -8.31% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (37/181) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (71/316) against Cristian Javier since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .165 (118-for-713) against Cristian Javier since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (104/350) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has thrown fastballs 66% of the time (580/882) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 18 of 714 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (915/1,289) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.