The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on Tuesday, September 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Padres vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Padres are 77-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 71-86 ATS.

Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 55% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.65 Units / 49% ROI)
• Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+15.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• Paul DeJong has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.70 Units / 62% ROI)
• Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.60 Units / 60% ROI)
• Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)

Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 79 of their last 150 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 72 away games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.57 Units / 47% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 69 of their last 110 games (+24.02 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 81 of their last 143 games (+17.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 80 games (+17.03 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 68 games at home (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 78-79 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -3.51% ROI).

• 77-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.75 Units / -13.59% ROI
• 66-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.3 Units / -13.89% ROI
• 81-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.45 Units / 5.53% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 71-86 against the Run Line (-25.3 Units / -12.46% ROI).

• 78-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -7.35% ROI
• 68-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.45 Units / -15.74% ROI
• 86-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.25 Units / 7.16% ROI

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth best among qualified RPs)– 91st Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (123/464) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (673/1,623) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 34% (183/539) against Seth Lugo with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele located 43% of his pitches inside (218/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (1,018/1,433) in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 99th Percentile.

Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (364/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 99th Percentile.

  
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