Air Force vs Colorado St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

The Air Force Falcons (7-0) visit Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium to take on the Colorado State Rams (1-6) on Oct. 28 in Fort Collins.

Air Force is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Air Force vs. Colorado St Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Air Force vs Colorado St Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 79.9% confidence.

Air Force vs Colorado St Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 61.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and Colorado St, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Air Force has hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)

  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+12.25 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Best Air Force Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Air Force players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jared Roznos has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Zac Larrier has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • John Lee Eldridge III has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Colorado St Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado St players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tory Horton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Justus Ross-Simmons has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Air Force is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • Air Force is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 25.05% ROI
  • Air Force is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Air Force is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Colorado St Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI).

  • Colorado St is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -6.2% ROI
  • Colorado St is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
  • Colorado St is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Air Force is undefeated (8-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .566

Air Force is undefeated (4-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– tied for 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .412

Air Force is 14-2 (.824) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .502

Air Force is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

Colorado State is 2-9 (.182) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .525

Colorado State is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .451

Colorado State is 5-17 (.217) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .522

Colorado State is 3-17 (.150) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .395

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 2,325 passing yards in 7 games (332.1 YPG) this season — sixth-best among FBS teams. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 154.3 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 2,355 passing yards in 7 games (336.4 YPG) this season — sixth-best among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 154.3 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

  
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