The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Friday, May 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Red Sox are 22-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 20-23 ATS.

Red Sox vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 4-1, 3.16 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 2-2, 3.68 ERA

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+12.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 24 games (+12.50 Units / 52% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+20.20 Units / 144% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• Michael Siani has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.15 Units / 92% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+9.95 Units / 17% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 44 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 76% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 19% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-24 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -14.2% ROI).

• 22-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -3.15% ROI
• 15-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.15 Units / -29.54% ROI
• 27-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 21.45% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 20-23 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -9.19% ROI).

• 18-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -19.17% ROI
• 18-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -15.92% ROI
• 23-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 7.46% ROI

Cardinals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (63/380) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (45/303) against Brayan Bello since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (130/214) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (164/272) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .158 (3-for-19) against Kyle Gibson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .322 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .158 (3-for-19) against Kyle Gibson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — 95th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 59% (444/753) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 59% (444/753) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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