The Milwaukee Brewers (-115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-105) on Friday, May 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Brewers are 26-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 18-26 ATS.

Brewers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 3-1, 3.66 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 0-4, 7.88 ERA

Brewers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+19.85 Units / 40% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+16.05 Units / 73% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+15.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+12.95 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 43 games (+22.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 17 games (+19.75 Units / 116% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 23 games at home (+17.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+14.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+14.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+9.59 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 23-20 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.25% ROI).

• 26-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.9 Units / 17.62% ROI
• 26-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.6 Units / 16.1% ROI
• 17-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -24.05% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 18-26 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -15.22% ROI).

• 19-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.6 Units / -20.52% ROI
• 16-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -23.28% ROI
• 25-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 15.18% ROI

Astros vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 42% (47/113) against Freddy Peralta this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .197 (61-for-309) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 33% (112 SO in 341 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has struck out 36% (34/95) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .530 (35-for-66) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .319 — 0 Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of .864 (57 Total Bases / 66 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .533 — first Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .550 (60 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .319 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .471 against Hunter Brown this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 0 Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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