The San Francisco Giants (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Thursday, May 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Giants are 14-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 18-13 ATS.
Giants vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 2-1, 4.14 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Josh Winckowski 1-1, 3.50 ERA
Giants vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Giants vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 away games (+18.40 Units / 131% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 82% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.80 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Wong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+15.50 Units / 141% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+13.60 Units / 124% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 14-17 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -10.19% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -18.37% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -10.5% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 1.02% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 18-13 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 6.5% ROI).
- 18-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 12.98% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -13.24% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 4.82% ROI
Red Sox vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Dalbec (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Red Sox vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Red Sox vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Red Sox vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 55% of the time (84/154) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has allowed an OPS of .967 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .630 — eighth Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has walked 5 of 137 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 (31 Total Bases / 52 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .364 — fourth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting .562 (9-for-16) against Josh Winckowski this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.
Josh Winckowski has thrown elevated sliders38% of the time (30/80) this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .284 (196-for-689) against Josh Winckowski since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .368 (14-for-38) against Josh Winckowski this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .223 — fourth Percentile.