The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-110) on Thursday, May 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Cubs are 19-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 16-14 ATS.

Cubs vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 0-1, 4.31 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-3, 8.37 ERA

Cubs vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Cubs vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+17.10 Units / 142% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+13.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.10 Units / 75% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+11.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.50 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+8.70 Units / 87% ROI)
• Omar Narvaez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 76% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 21-10 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI).

• 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 21.93% ROI
• 13-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -19.97% ROI
• 18-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 11.34% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 16-14 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 9.39% ROI).

• 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.45% ROI
• 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -11.63% ROI
• 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 2.45% ROI

Mets vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ben Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 96.0 MPH (64 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 89.0 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 75% (30/40) against Ben Brown on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Ben Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 96.0 MPH this season (64 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 89.0

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 70% (26/37) against Ben Brown when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 37% of Adrian Houser’s breaking pitches (388/1,041) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (1,577/2,283) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.

Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 70% of the time (684/971) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Adrian Houser has walked 7 of 45 batters (16%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
Read Full Article