The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-6) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (4-10) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Buccaneers vs. Panthers Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 18 game with 66.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.
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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Russell Gage has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Mike Evans has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ian Thomas has hit the Longest Reception Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.05 Units / 50% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.95 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have scored last in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 10-6 (+3.5 Units / 20.11% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 7.77% ROI
- Buccaneers are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Buccaneers are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers went 4-10 (-7.1 Units / -40.46% ROI).
- Panthers are 2-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -70% ROI
- Panthers are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.15 Units / -40.51% ROI
- Panthers are 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 31.34% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Buccaneers are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Buccaneers are 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .587.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Panthers are winless (0-5) when playing in cold weather this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Panthers are 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.
The Panthers are winless (0-3) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers are winless (0-9) on the road this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.