The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Saturday, March 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Reds vs Rangers Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Reds are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 5-5 ATS.
Reds vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 123 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 151 games (+9.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 4-5 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -9.26% ROI).
- 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 6% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 5.03% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -15.74% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -2.64% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -22.51% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 22.97% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -31.22% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 34% (23/68) versus Cole Ragans over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Cole Ragans threw his changeup 37% of the time (109/292) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents batted .423 (11-for-26) against Cole Ragans versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .234 — fourth Percentile.