The New York Yankees (-105) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Friday, March 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Lakeland.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Yankees vs Tigers Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Yankees are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 3-6 ATS.
Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 108 games (+12.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -6.03% ROI).
- 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -16.85% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 42.46% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -51.45% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 3-6 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -25.62% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 7.14% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 48.98% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -58% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Luwas Severino last season was 380.5 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 397.8
The last hit on a Luis Severino changeup was September 21st, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Bryan Baker has the longest active streak at 28.
Opponents batted just .171 (30-for-175) against Luis Severino on the road last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 97th Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order batted just .180 against Luis Severino last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 96th Percentile.