Best Bets on Today's MLB YRFI and NRFI Markets
I went 1-1 on my best bets yesterday thanks to a Marcus Semien leadoff homer in the bottom of the first inning off Bobby Miller. I was not as fortunate in Milwaukee, as Adrian Houser held the dangerous Braves offense at bay, and rookie Allan Winans got through his first big league inning unscathed. One of those matchups we will be revisiting today as I try to end the week on a positive note.
Keep reading to find out my best bets for Sunday, July 23rd. I recommend three units for each. All odds are via DraftKings, but be sure to shop around for the best line.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Texas Rangers
Another relatively simple handicap like yesterday. Two pitchers with subpar numbers against two of the more consistent first-inning lineups in baseball. Texas had no trouble scoring an early run against Bobby Miller yesterday, and even without Corey Seager in the lineup, I feel confident they can get another one today off another Dodgers rookie. Emmet Sheehan is just 2-3 to the NRFI through his first five starts with a 7.71 xFIP in the first inning, which is the highest of any pitcher on the board today. He has also allowed at least three earned runs in each of his first two road starts, including an early run in each game.
Martin Perez has posted a 12-6 NRFI record this season with an elevated xFIP above 5.00 in the first inning. The lefty has also seen plenty of this Dodgers lineup with 40 career plate appearances against. Los Angeles also has the second-highest wRC+ in the first inning against LHP this season. They failed to score an early run yesterday, but their 65.4% scoring rate on the road is an encouraging sign they will get one today.