The New York Yankees (+100) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-120) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+180).
The Yankees vs Twins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 13-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 13-10 ATS.
Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games (+2.80 Units / 8% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-12 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 4.44% ROI).
- 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.76% ROI
- 7-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -42.47% ROI
- 16-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.3 Units / 33.07% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 9.82% ROI).
- 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.91% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -24.61% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 16.4% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (9/49) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (15/64) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (4/25) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (5/27) against Nestor Cortes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 60% (106/177) against Joe Ryan this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has struck out 41% (19/46) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .115 (52 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 96th Percentile.