The New York Yankees (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Yankees vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Yankees are 13-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 12-10 ATS.

Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 66.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
• Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)

Twins vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 42% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-11 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 11.66% ROI).

• 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.35% ROI
• 7-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -39.88% ROI
• 15-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 30.42% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 12-10 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI).

• 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -4.12% ROI
• 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -21.19% ROI
• 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 13.02% ROI

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jhony Brito has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (44/93) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Jhony Brito has located his fastball up for a strike just 38% (29/77) of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

9 of Jhony Brito’s 11 strikeouts (82%) have come on changeups this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (8/60) against Jhony Brito this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (320/640) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Sonny Gray has struck out 40% (22/55) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 55% (61/111) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

  
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