The New York Yankees (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Yankees vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 13-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 12-10 ATS.
Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Twins vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Trevino | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Twins vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Trevino | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Twins vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Trevino | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jhony Brito | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Sonny Gray | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-11 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 11.66% ROI).
- 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.35% ROI
- 7-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -39.88% ROI
- 15-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 30.42% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 12-10 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -4.12% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -21.19% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 13.02% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jhony Brito has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (44/93) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Jhony Brito has located his fastball up for a strike just 38% (29/77) of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.
9 of Jhony Brito’s 11 strikeouts (82%) have come on changeups this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (8/60) against Jhony Brito this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (320/640) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Sonny Gray has struck out 40% (22/55) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 55% (61/111) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.