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The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox each aim for a series win in today's rubber match, and we have you covered with our best Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction and player props from the best sports betting sites.
Underdogs have won each of the first two games of this series, but Betway has this game as a pick 'em with first pitch from Fenway Park scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
The Yankees, who remain among the World Series odds favorites, put themselves in position to win their first series of the year against the Red Sox in three tries with an 11-8 comeback victory on Saturday night. New York was down to its last strike in the ninth inning before tying the score at 8-8 and winning in extras.
We don't expect Aaron Judge, the AL favorite by the MLB MVP odds, to get many pitches to hit tonight after going 4-for-4 last night and homering in each of the first two games of this series. Instead, we turn our attention to some less heralded sluggers for two of our player prop selections.
Yankees vs. Red Sox player props
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Carlos Rodon Over 5.5 hits allowed (+110 via Betway) ????
- Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 total bases (+137 via Betway) ???
- Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 runs (+125 via Betway) ???
Yankees vs. Red Sox expert picks
MLB picks made Sunday at 7 a.m. ET.
Entering yesterday's 11-8 slugfest, the Yankees were 10-23 in their last 33 games, and poor pitching was a big reason for their slide. Their starters pitched to a 6.05 ERA in that span, while their relievers combined for a 4.64 ERA.
Rodon was the worst of the bunch in that stretch, pit ching to a 7.94 ERA. While he has allowed five or fewer hits in four consecutive starts, manager Aaron Boone will likely need to give Rodon a longer leash than usual considering how taxed the bullpen is.
The Yankees have relied on 10 different relievers to pitch 10 innings over the last two days, with three of their best (Tim Hill, Tommy Kahnle, and Clay Holmes) likely unavailable tonight after pitching back-to-back days.
Thus, we are enticed by these +110 odds, which would return $11 in profit on a $10 wager. This has the feeling that Rodon will be left to hang dry even if he doesn't have his best stuff tonight in order to save the bullpen.
Best odds: +110 via Betway | Implied probability: 47.62%
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Torres was benched for poor performance just 20 games ago, but the message was received loud and clear as he has been on a tear since then.
Prior to providing insurance with a two-run double in the 10th inning yesterday, Torres was batting .329 with three home runs, eight RBIs, and a .899 OPS in the previous 19 games.
He's also the only Yankees hitter with a home run and more than three career hits off Red Sox starter Tanner Houck (6-for-21, .286 wOBA), so this 42.19% implied probability for Torres to go over this projected total for the fifth straight day seems low.
A winning $10 wager at Betway's +137 odds would return $13.70 in profit.
Best odds: +137 via Betway | Implied probability: 42.19%
Rafaela has provided the Red Sox with a consistent jolt of energy at the bottom of the lineup, as he's scored at least one run in five o f the previous seven games.
Rafaela entered yesterday's contest ranked first in RBIs, second in runs scored, and third in hits among MLB rookies. Production from youngsters is nothing new to Boston this year, as it ranks first in the majors in percentage of runs scored, RBIs, and extra-base hits from rookies.
The Red Sox have a projected team total of 4.5 runs tonight, so we are getting good value for Rafaela to cross the plate at least once, as a $10 winning wager would pay out $12.50 in profit.
Best odds: +125 via Betway | Implied probability: 44.44%
Yankees vs. Red Sox odds & game info
- When: Sunday, July 28
- First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Fenway Park (Boston)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Pick 'em (-110 via Betway)
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