The New York Yankees (-150) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+125) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Yankees are 50-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 33-38 ATS.

Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 6-2, 2.83 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-6, 3.49 ERA

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+18.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 37 games (+17.95 Units / 49% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+16.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+15.60 Units / 312% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+13.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 48 games (+12.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 39 games (+23.55 Units / 51% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 39 games (+23.45 Units / 49% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games (+20.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.54 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 73 games (+17.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 71 games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 44-29 against the Run Line (+19.85 Units / 22.66% ROI).

• 50-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.55 Units / 16.29% ROI
• 34-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -8.27% ROI
• 37-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.25% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 33-38 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -11.65% ROI).

• 36-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -2.72% ROI
• 31-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -10.19% ROI
• 36-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 3% ROI

Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 56% of the time (295/522) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 75% of the time (523/699) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 58% (218/375) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 55% (99/180) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (29/88) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (36/116) against Kutter Crawford this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .262 (11-for-42) against Kutter Crawford on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 84th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 68% (862/1,276) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 89th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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