The New York Yankees (-175) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+145) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Yankees are 50-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 32-38 ATS.

Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-2, 2.69 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 3-3, 4.16 ERA

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 38 games (+20.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 36 games (+18.95 Units / 53% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+17.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+15.60 Units / 312% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 38 games (+24.80 Units / 55% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 38 games (+24.80 Units / 53% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 games (+22.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 49 games (+19.79 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 72 games (+19.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+9.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 70 games (+4.05 Units / 4% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 44-28 against the Run Line (+21.1 Units / 24.44% ROI).

• 50-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.3 Units / 18.21% ROI
• 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -9.65% ROI
• 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 1.14% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 32-38 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -12.87% ROI).

• 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -4.57% ROI
• 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -11.63% ROI
• 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 4.47% ROI

Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .615 (16-for-26) against Carlos Rodon in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against Carlos Rodon when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (62/191) against Carlos Rodon this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has walked 5 of 126 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 14% (3/21) against Cooper Criswell on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Cooper Criswell has a strike rate of just 54% (191/352) when ahead in the count this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.

Cooper Criswell has located his fastballs down 58% of the time (151/262) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (48/66) against Cooper Criswell’s changeup this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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