The New York Yankees (-130) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+105) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 71-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 56-57 ATS.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 73.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)
• Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 away games (+9.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 72% ROI)
• Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 65% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 22 games at home (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 27 games at home (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)

Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.55 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 102 games (+7.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 84 games (+7.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+5.75 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 84 games (+2.90 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-60 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.51% ROI).

• 71-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 1.93% ROI
• 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -1.98% ROI
• 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -6.85% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 56-57 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -0.97% ROI).

• 55-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -6.78% ROI
• 51-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -5.19% ROI
• 53-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -2.08% ROI

Domingo German: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Domingo German has a strikeout rate of just 17% (4 SO in 23 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Domingo German has struck out just 8% (2/26) of left-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.

Domingo German has a strikeout rate of just 10% (4 SO in 42 PAs) this month (2 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.

Domingo German has allowed an OBP of .600 (15 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .326 — first Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 10% (10/96) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has a strikeout rate of 60% (9 SO in 15 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (22/144) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has walked 6 of 287 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 99th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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