The New York Yankees (-135) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Yankees are 26-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 17-23 ATS.

Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 3-1, 2.92 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 1-1, 4.91 ERA

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+20.40 Units / 120% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 away games (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+12.25 Units / 57% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 13 games at home (+9.15 Units / 70% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 20-21 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 2.89% ROI).

• 26-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 8.22% ROI
• 17-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -15.74% ROI
• 22-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 7.16% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 17-23 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -12.86% ROI).

• 20-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -14.81% ROI
• 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 5.01% ROI
• 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -14.29% ROI

Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Gil has walked 24 of 153 batters (16%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .064 (5-for-78) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .168 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .064 (5-for-78) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 98th Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 24 of 153 batters (16%) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Alexander has allowed a slugging percentage of .392 (65 Total Bases / 166 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (238/324) since last season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 61% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (15/110) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has walked 2 of 98 left-handed batters (2%) since last season — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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