The New York Yankees (+180) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-225) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

This season, the Yankees are 15-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 13-12 ATS.

Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• Franchy Cordero has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
• Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)
• Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.90 Units / 99% ROI)

Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 54% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.40 Units / 60% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 13-13 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 3.33% ROI).

• 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.04% ROI
• 9-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -34.26% ROI
• 17-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.15 Units / 25.18% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 13-12 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.16% ROI).

• 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 2.37% ROI
• 16-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 21.26% ROI
• 9-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -31.63% ROI

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .554 (67 Total Bases / 121 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .360 — third Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.114 (39 Total Bases / 35 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .581 — 0 Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .795 (31 Total Bases / 39 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .415 — third Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OPS of .938 (139 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .667 — third Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (91/209) against Jacob deGrom this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 68% (43 SO in 63 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 47% (38/81) against Jacob deGrom this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

  
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