The New York Yankees (+125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-150) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Yankees are 62-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 54-51 ATS.

Yankees vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 10-5, 3.11 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 10-4, 2.57 ERA

Yankees vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 away games (+20.80 Units / 160% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+14.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+13.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.70 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 21 games (+18.30 Units / 87% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.20 Units / 48% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+16.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+18.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+14.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 84 games (+12.59 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 73 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 57 away games (+7.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 90 games (+20.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+17.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 87 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 46 games at home (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 56-51 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 8.74% ROI).

• 62-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -1.29% ROI
• 57-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 5.08% ROI
• 46-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.55 Units / -14.09% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 54-51 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 2.2% ROI).

• 65-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 2.46% ROI
• 46-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -12.09% ROI
• 54-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 2.83% ROI

Phillies vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .149 (30-for-202) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .098 (21-for-215) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 27 of 236 right-handed batters (11%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Luis Gil has a strike rate of just 61% (1,117/1,831) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .153 (31-for-203) against Zack Wheeler this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (2,161/5,062) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .162 (26-for-160) against Zack Wheeler when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 97th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .311 (137 Total Bases / 440 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 93rd Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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