The New York Yankees (-115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-105) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Yankees are 35-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 28-25 ATS.

Yankees vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 5-2, 2.93 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 4-1, 2.08 ERA

Yankees vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+14.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.25 Units / 56% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.50 Units / 192% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+23.80 Units / 64% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 49 games (+21.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+16.10 Units / 60% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+13.40 Units / 64% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.99 Units / 38% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.35 Units / 54% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 29-23 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 15.52% ROI).

• 35-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 14.16% ROI
• 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -15.18% ROI
• 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 6.71% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 28-25 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 7.99% ROI).

• 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -6.72% ROI
• 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 3.2% ROI
• 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -12.06% ROI

Padres vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (93 SO in 264 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 10% (3/30) against Carlos Rodon on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (20/59) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (41/136) against Carlos Rodon this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (20 Total Bases / 80 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — 98th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .239 (184 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .179 (30-for-168) against Yu Darvish this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .114 (4-for-35) against Yu Darvish with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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