The New York Yankees (-150) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+125) on Wednesday, June 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Yankees are 52-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 37-40 ATS.

Yankees vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 9-2, 2.77 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 4-3, 4.21 ERA

Yankees vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+22.70 Units / 568% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 36 of his last 46 games (+21.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+17.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+16.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+26.20 Units / 374% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+14.00 Units / 67% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.55 Units / 90% ROI)
• DJ Stewart has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 games (+18.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 47 games (+18.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.19 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games (+11.30 Units / 10% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+11.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 46% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 46-35 against the Run Line (+15.2 Units / 15.65% ROI).

• 52-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 9.52% ROI
• 40-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -3.42% ROI
• 39-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -5.61% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 37-40 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -5.5% ROI).

• 38-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -3.08% ROI
• 38-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.66% ROI
• 35-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -7.47% ROI

Mets vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .164 (47-for-286) against Luis Gil this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 19 of 135 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Luis Gil has allowed a slugging percentage of just .280 (80 Total Bases / 286 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 98th Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 41 of 331 batters (12%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .120 (6 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .367 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (29/112) against Sean Manaea in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (39/107) against Sean Manaea on fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 15% (2/13) against Sean Manaea — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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