The New York Yankees (-105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-115) on Thursday, September 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Yankees are 89-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 66-86 ATS.

Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-3, 2.41 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 7-11, 3.25 ERA

Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 41 games (+22.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+20.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+13.70 Units / 105% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 28 games (+33.50 Units / 120% ROI)
• Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+12.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 95 games (+17.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 77 away games (+14.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.65 Units / 68% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 77 away games (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 76 games at home (+13.27 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 games at home (+6.64 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 77 games at home (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 67 games at home (+6.05 Units / 8% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 78-74 against the Run Line (+7.85 Units / 4.29% ROI).

• 89-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -4.45% ROI
• 80-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 3.45% ROI
• 67-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.65 Units / -12.38% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 66-86 against the Run Line (-24.25 Units / -12.75% ROI).

• 77-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.66 Units / -8.77% ROI
• 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -6.93% ROI
• 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.73 Units / -1.04% ROI

Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clarke Schmidt had a first-pitch strike rate of 86% (19/22) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt had an average spin rate of 2627.0 RPM on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2239.5 — 100th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OBP of just .265 (211 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 98th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2613.5 RPM on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 2235.7 — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .238 (62 Total Bases / 261 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .174 (270 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .412 (270 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has a strike rate of 78% (374/478) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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