Yankees vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 18
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 18

The New York Yankees (-120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+100) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Yankees are 88-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 65-86 ATS.

Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 9-10, 3.91 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 11-8, 3.14 ERA

Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 40 games (+24.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+22.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+13.70 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+13.70 Units / 76% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 28 games (+33.50 Units / 120% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+13.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Bryce Miller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+12.80 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 39% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 94 games (+19.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 away games (+15.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.40 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 76 away games (+3.40 Units / 3% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games at home (+7.64 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 66 games at home (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 78-73 against the Run Line (+8.85 Units / 4.87% ROI).

  • 88-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -4.88% ROI
  • 80-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 4.14% ROI
  • 66-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.65 Units / -13.07% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 65-86 against the Run Line (-25.25 Units / -13.39% ROI).

  • 77-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.66 Units / -8.31% ROI
  • 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -6.31% ROI
  • 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.73 Units / -1.65% ROI

Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nestor Cortes (NYY) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120
Bryce Miller (SEA) 5.5 +100 5.5 -135

Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .852 (266 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (153/490) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (128/390) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .331 (117 Total Bases / 354 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — eighth Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .238 (261 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (38/208) against Bryce Miller this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has walked 11 of 302 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 89th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .235 (302 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 96th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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