The New York Yankees (-130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+105) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 71-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 55-56 ATS.
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 59.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -160 |
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -160 | 7.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-58 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -6.07% ROI).
- 71-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 3.25% ROI
- 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -1.11% ROI
- 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -7.8% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 55-56 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -6.42% ROI).
- 59-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 5.64% ROI
- 53-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -4.6% ROI
- 54-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -3.37% ROI
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (361/1,047) against Gerrit Cole this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (247/626) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has located his fastball away 62% of the time (667/1,077) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 39% (84/213) against Gerrit Cole when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 48% (36 SO in 75 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has located his fastball up for a strike just 52% (569/1,095) of the time since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 60% — fourth Percentile.
Luis Castillo has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last eight games — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 10.
Opponents are hitting just .134 (11-for-82) against Luis Castillo when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 99th Percentile.