The New York Yankees (-135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+110) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 71-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 56-56 ATS.
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 away games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.20 Units / 88% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.85 Units / 78% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 45 games at home (+17.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 79 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 101 games (+8.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games (+18.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.37 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 68 games (+4.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+2.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-59 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -6.79% ROI).
- 71-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 2.55% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -2% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -6.91% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 56-56 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -5.69% ROI).
- 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 6.5% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -5.46% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -2.54% ROI
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 54% of the time (445/820) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 56% of the time (665/1,189) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 52% of the time (1,168/2,242) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
28 of Nestor Cortes’ 78 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has allowed a slugging percentage of .740 (37 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .410 — second Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (930/2,069) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (812/1,660) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (473/1,063) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.