The New York Yankees (-115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-105) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Yankees vs Guardians Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 7-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 5-7 ATS.
Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.90 Units / 86% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+13.90 Units / 126% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.95 Units / 111% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.95 Units / 89% ROI)
Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Guardians vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 8-3 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 59.4% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 10.84% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -14.86% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 5.11% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 5-7 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -12.67% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 8.45% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 19.25% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -27.76% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a just .272 SLG vs right-handed batters (15th best)– 86th Percentile and .525 vs left-handed batters since last season (third worst among qualified RPs)– third Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 85% (17/20) against Clarke Schmidt this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt allowed a batting average of just .156 vs right-handed batters (tied for 13th best)– 88th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (tied for 10th worst among qualified RPs)– 15th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of just .272 (37 Total Bases / 136 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — 15th best among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .361 — 86th Percentile.