The New York Yankees (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoen ix, AZ.

This season, the Yankees are 5-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 3-2 ATS.

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 0-0, 7.21 ERA

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 1-0, 1.80 ERA

Yankees vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 18 away games (+14.35 Units / 36% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+11.05 Units / 43% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 away games (+10.25 Units / 49% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
• Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.60 Units / 78% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 5-0 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 65.84% ROI).

• 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 104.81% ROI
• 0-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -80.7% ROI
• 4-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 75.47% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 8.55% ROI).

• 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 2.13% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.04% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -20.75% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .146 (33-for-226) against Nestor Cortes versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .221 (132-for-596) against Nestor Cortes on pitches in the strike zone since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .281 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .173 (69-for-399) against Nestor Cortes’ fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .158 (15-for-95) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen threw breaking pitches down 83% of the time (633/764) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (154/574) versus Zac Gallen in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.

Zac Gallen allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.4 MPH (553 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.1 — fourth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has located his breaking pitches down 82% of the time (1,167/1,423) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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