The New York Yankees (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Yankees are 4-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 3-1 ATS.
Yankees vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s game with 55.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+13.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+12.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 69% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 4-0 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 56.74% ROI).
- 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 111.25% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -75.82% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 70.59% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 45.98% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 14.29% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 42.86% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -49.41% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (150 Total Bases / 236 ABs) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .411 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson had an ERA of 8.25 (55.2 IP) at home in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .356 (84-for-236) against Ryne Nelson at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.7 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (90 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 89.8