The New York Yankees (-150) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+125) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Yankees vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 70-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 57-48 ATS.
Yankees vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 away games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 42 of his last 63 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 37 games at home (+12.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games at home (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 35 games at home (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 96 games (+13.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+9.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 82 games (+8.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 51-55 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -5.06% ROI).
- 70-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 4.82% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -0.9% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -7.88% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 57-48 against the Run Line (+6.3 Units / 4.77% ROI).
- 57-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 1.94% ROI
- 48-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -9.47% ROI
- 53-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.35% ROI
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 60% of the time (254/425) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 52% of the time (1,130/2,177) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
17 of Nestor Cortes’ 49 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 56% of the time (627/1,124) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 57% (476/841) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (84/453) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (189/856) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 54% (299/554) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.