The New York Yankees (+200) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in North Port, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 0-1 ATS.
Yankees vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+1.80 Units / 180% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Runs Over in his last away game (+1.55 Units / 155% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Braden Shewmake has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last game (+1.35 Units / 135% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the RBIs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Yankees are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.14 Units / 114% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 58.82% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Braves are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 52.08% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has averaged 79.6 MPH on sliders since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — fourth Percentile.
Nestor Cortes’ lowest spin rate on fastballs since the 2022 season is 1853.0 RPM — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1212.5
Nestor Cortes’ lowest spin rate on fastballs since the 2021 season is 1853.0 RPM — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 1124.1
Nestor Cortes has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH on the 206 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2021 season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 35% of the time (228/658) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 43% of the time (1,227/2,842) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 36% of the time (253/706) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 46% of the time (664/1,432) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.