Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 27
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 27

The New York Yankees (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 94-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 67-87 ATS.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 53 games at home (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 42 games at home (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+14.77 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 113 games (+11.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 41% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 68-85 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -11.19% ROI).

  • 94-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.26% ROI
  • 73-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -5.6% ROI
  • 75-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -3.45% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 67-87 against the Run Line (-24.2 Units / -13.17% ROI).

  • 87-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -6.69% ROI
  • 77-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -2.02% ROI
  • 73-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -7.4% ROI

Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 371 right-handed batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 7 of 251 batters (3%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (26/53) against Jameson Taillon in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .439 (29-for-66) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — sixth Percentile.

Jose Berrios: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .420 (145 Total Bases / 345 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .275 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .289 (187-for-647) against Jose Berrios this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .589 (347 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .464 — eighth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .816 (702 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — fourth Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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