The New York Yankees (-140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+115) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 52-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 36-43 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-4, 3.64 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 6-6, 3.46 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+17.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.19 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 74 games (+5.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 46-36 against the Run Line (+14.2 Units / 14.47% ROI).
- 52-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 8.33% ROI
- 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.27% ROI
- 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -6.81% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 36-43 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -13.35% ROI).
- 36-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -13.89% ROI
- 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -11.83% ROI
- 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 2.41% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .685 (63 Total Bases / 92 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (70 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 80.9
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .544 (43 Total Bases / 79 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — eighth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .690 (29 Total Bases / 42 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .351 (20-for-57) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (165/434) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 20% (10 SO in 51 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (258/656) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.