The New York Yankees (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Thursday, October 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:37pm EDT in Houston for this postseason game.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Yankees vs Astros Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 102-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 88-78 ATS.
Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+16.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 away games (+14.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 23 away games (+13.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 46 of his last 82 games at home (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Justin Verlander has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games at home (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 96 of their last 153 games (+27.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 94 of their last 164 games (+27.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 103 of their last 150 games (+23.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 147 games (+16.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games at home (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 75-93 against the Run Line (-20.15 Units / -10.32% ROI).
- 102-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -0.46% ROI
- 77-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -8.79% ROI
- 85-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.05% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 88-78 against the Run Line (+11.65 Units / 5.97% ROI).
- 110-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.3 Units / 6.6% ROI
- 61-95 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.15 Units / -23.19% ROI
- 95-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.2 Units / 14.78% ROI
Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has allowed an OPS of just .048 (21 PA's) this month (1 games) – best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .561 – 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .119 (26-for-218) against Luis Severino with two-strikes this season – 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .168 – 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 20 AB's against Luis Severino this month (1 games) – tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .193 – 100th Percentile.
Opponents were hitless in 20 AB's against Luis Severino – best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .230 – 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (372/555) against Framber Valdez this season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% – 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (636/933) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% – 100th Percentile.