Let’s check out the reasoning behind each of our selections.
Saudi Arabia over 2.5 cards (-108)
Saudi Arabia has been seriously competitive in both of their Group C games against Argentina and Poland, and isn’t afraid to put in some tackles. That comes at a price, of course — the price being 8 yellow cards in total.
Now they have something to cling on to as a 0-0 draw – or indeed any draw – could well be enough to get them into the knockout stages for the first time. The tackles have been flying from Herve Renard’s team with 21 fouls committed against Argentina and 15 against Poland, and if English referee Michael Oliver is as strict as he was in his first game between Japan and Costa Rica (6 yellow cards, 3 for each side) then the card count will rise.
Mexico under 5.5 corners (-132)
Mexico averages 4 corners per game so far, so the case for them clearing 5.5 against Saudi Arabia isn’t an easy one to make.