Wisconsin vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5
Wisconsin vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

The Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) visit United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the USC Trojans (2-1) on Sep. 28 in Los Angeles, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

USC is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).

The Wisconsin vs. USC Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Wisconsin vs USC Prediction:

The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and USC, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Wisconsin vs USC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 65.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • USC have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today

  • Will Pauling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Tyler Van Dyke has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.35 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jackson Acker has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Braedyn Locke has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Braedyn Locke has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for USC players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best USC Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Zachariah Branch has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Lake McRee has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Miller Moss has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Miller Moss has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 59.7% ROI).

Wisconsin is 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .647

Wisconsin is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .679

Wisconsin is 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .685

Wisconsin is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

USC is 3-4 (.375) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .507

USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .679

USC was 2-5 (.250) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

USC’s offense has thrown for 956 passing yards in 3 games (318.7 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 160.3 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

USC’s TEs has 17 receptions in 3 games (5.7 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten TEs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

  
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