The Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (1-2) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in West Lafayette.
Wisconsin is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Wisconsin vs. Purdue Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Wisconsin vs Purdue Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 68.3% confidence.
Wisconsin vs Purdue Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tanner Mordecai has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Skyler Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Braelon Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chimere Dike has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tanner Mordecai has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Deion Burks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- TJ Sheffield has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.3% ROI
- Wisconsin is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Wisconsin is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI).
- Purdue is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -45.33% ROI
- Purdue is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Purdue is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Wisconsin is 7-4 (.583) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for 39th-best in FBS; Average: .496
Wisconsin is 10-2 (.588) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .472
Wisconsin is 16-6 (.727) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– tied for 18th-best in FBS; Average: .542
Wisconsin is 9-6 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– tied for 21st-best in FBS; Average: .383
Purdue is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .559
Purdue is 10-9 (.526) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– tied for 36th-best in FBS; Average: .383
Purdue is 11-7 (.524) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .377