The Wisconsin Badgers (2-3) visit Ryan Field to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (1-4) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Evanston.
Wisconsin are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Over/Under for Wisconsin vs. Northwestern is 44.5 total points.
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Wisconsin vs Northwestern Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 60.2% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 74.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Northwestern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Chimere Dike has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Best Northwestern Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northwestern players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Evan Hull has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.08 Units / 25% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northwestern has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin has gone 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Wisconsin are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Wisconsin are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Wisconsin are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern has gone 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Northwestern are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -38.31% ROI
- Northwestern are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Northwestern are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Wisconsin is undefeated (6-0) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .477
Wisconsin is undefeated (9-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .530
Wisconsin is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .513
Wisconsin is undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Northwestern is winless (0-10) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436
Northwestern is winless (0-6) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462
Northwestern is winless (0-11) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .303
Northwestern is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .280
Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Northwestern
Northwestern’s receiving corps has 9 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among Power 5 WR corps. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 10 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fewest among P5 defenses.