Wisconsin vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

The Wisconsin Badgers (6-5) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-6) on Nov. 25 in Minneapolis.

Wisconsin is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Wisconsin vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Wisconsin vs Minnesota Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 54.3% confidence.

Wisconsin vs Minnesota Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 74.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Minnesota, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Wisconsin have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)

  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tanner Mordecai has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Tanner Mordecai has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Will Pauling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Braelon Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Athan Kaliakmanis has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Corey Crooms Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Athan Kaliakmanis has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Brevyn Spann-Ford has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -13.63% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.45% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.65 Units / 21.99% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota is 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.9 Units / -48.36% ROI).

  • Minnesota is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -15.36% ROI
  • Minnesota is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Minnesota is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Wisconsin is 8-2 (.800) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .468

Wisconsin is 20-6 (.741) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .542

Wisconsin is 14-5 (.700) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 19th-best in FBS; Average: .535

Wisconsin is 16-9 (.615) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .511

Minnesota is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

Minnesota is 12-9 (.545) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 36th-best in FBS; Average: .449

Minnesota is 10-4 (.667) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for 27th-best in FBS; Average: .508

Minnesota is 10-4 (.714) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .574

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 248 attempts this season — tied for 34th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.0% of attempts this season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 248 attempts this season — tied for 34th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.0% of attempts this season — third-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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