The Chicago White Sox (-115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-105) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 76-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 70-84 ATS.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 109 games (+29.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 74 of his last 111 games (+22.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 111 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 74% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.55 Units / 54% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 67-87 against the Run Line (-22.5 Units / -12.38% ROI).
- 76-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.25 Units / -11.38% ROI
- 69-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -7.22% ROI
- 75-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 70-84 against the Run Line (-18.7 Units / -9.93% ROI).
- 75-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -7.15% ROI
- 71-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -4.46% ROI
- 72-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -3.76% ROI
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Johnny Cueto since the start of last season is 411.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (118/708) against Johnny Cueto in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (487/977) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (403/2,027) against Johnny Cueto since the start of last season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Josh Winder: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josh Winder had a first-pitch strike rate of just 44% (11/25) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 43 ABs ending on a two-strike slider from Josh Winder. — Zack Britton has the longest active streak at 48.
Josh Winder has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to July 12nd — the longest active streak is 6.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (15/49) against Josh Winder this month (3 games) — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.