The Chicago White Sox (+240) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-300) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the White Sox are 27-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 53-56 ATS.
White Sox vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-10, 5.16 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 3-2, 3.78 ERA
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 68.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 47 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 games at home (+19.10 Units / 159% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 81% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 away games (+10.40 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 53 away games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 30 away games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 32 away games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 89 games (+8.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.85 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 48-65 against the Run Line (-23.55 Units / -17.37% ROI).
- 27-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -50.3 Units / -43.31% ROI
- 51-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -8.57% ROI
- 56-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.28% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 53-56 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -4.04% ROI).
- 61-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.1% ROI
- 56-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 2.91% ROI
- 48-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -11.55% ROI
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 14% (26 SO in 191 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 32% (80 SO in 253 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 95 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 16% (80 SO in 488 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .417 (10 GB hits out of 24 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .242 — third Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has a strikeout rate of just 36% (78 SO in 218 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 10th Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .294 (37 Total Bases / 126 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .187 (29-for-155) against Simeon Woods Richardson at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 95th Percentile .