White Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 11
White Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 11

The Chicago White Sox (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 56-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 53-59 ATS.

White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 46 of his last 68 games (+21.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 51 of his last 70 games (+20.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 65 games (+11.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)

Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
MJ Melendez 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Michael Massey 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Kyle Isbel 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
MJ Melendez 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Michael Massey 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
MJ Melendez 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Michael Massey 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Greinke 3.5 +120 3.5 -175
Dylan Cease 7.5 +100 7.5 -145

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+15.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 44 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 away games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 58 games (+19.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 51 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 48-63 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -11.77% ROI).

  • 56-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -8.18% ROI
  • 50-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -6.82% ROI
  • 54-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.49% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 53-59 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -11.33% ROI).

  • 46-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -9% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -4.57% ROI

Dylan Cease has struck out 37% (97/263) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (204/523) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (362/1,008) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (93/220) against Dylan Cease with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (29/82) against Zack Greinke on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Zack Greinke has an ERA of 7.16 (44.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 4.04 — third Percentile.

Zack Greinke has a strikeout rate of just 13% (52 SO in 396 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Zack Greinke has thrown low pitches 70% of the time (811/1,166) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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