White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23
White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23

The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-225) on Friday, September 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The White Sox vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the White Sox are 58-95 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 76-77 ATS.

White Sox vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 77.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+16.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+13.15 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tim Anderson has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Tanner Houck has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.30 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+8.10 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kutter Crawford has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.55 Units / 80% ROI)

Red Sox vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Connor Wong 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Rafael Devers 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Trayce Thompson 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Red Sox vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Connor Wong 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Rafael Devers 1.5 +200 1.5 -275
Trayce Thompson 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Red Sox vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Connor Wong 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Rafael Devers 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Trayce Thompson 0.5 +310 0.5 -450

Red Sox vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Touki Toussaint 4.5 -140 4.5 +105
Chris Sale 7.5 -130 7.5 +100

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 115 games (+9.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.13 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+13.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.34 Units / 39% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 75-78 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -8.36% ROI).

  • 58-95 when betting on the Moneyline for -35.45 Units / -20.59% ROI
  • 69-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -8.53% ROI
  • 76-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.21% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 76-77 against the Run Line (-13.15 Units / -6.5% ROI).

  • 75-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -5.49% ROI
  • 80-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 3.74% ROI
  • 67-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.55 Units / -12.77% ROI

Touki Toussaint has walked 30 of 185 left-handed batters (16%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 40% of Touki Toussaint’s pitches (568/1,418) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (339/1,019) against Touki Toussaint in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Touki Toussaint has walked 52 of 341 batters (15%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of 43% (79/183) against Chris Sale with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 32% (29 SO in 90 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (14/73) against Chris Sale on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.

  
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