The Chicago White Sox (-160) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+135) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the White Sox are 26-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 38-50 ATS.

White Sox vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-6, 3.02 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos 0-0, 3.86 ERA

White Sox vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+22.20 Units / 202% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)

White Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 away games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.90 Units / 23% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 83 games (+13.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+2.10 Units / 13% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 42-48 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -9.53% ROI).

• 26-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.5 Units / -30.98% ROI
• 41-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -8.74% ROI
• 45-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.31% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 38-50 against the Run Line (-27.06 Units / -22.98% ROI).

• 30-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.3 Units / -22.73% ROI
• 46-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.6% ROI
• 41-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -9.16% ROI

Marlins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (159/329) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (238/526) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (238/526) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 41% (67 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 60% (33/55) against Yonny Chirinos on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Yonny Chirinos has a strikeout rate of just 10% (5 SO in 51 PAs) in late innings since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (145/779) against Yonny Chirinos since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Yonny Chirinos has a strikeout rate of just 16% (68 SO in 434 PAs) since last season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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