The Chicago White Sox (+170) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-210) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the White Sox are 24-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 46-36 ATS.

White Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-7, 5.17 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 3-6, 5.28 ERA

White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)

White Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 82 games (+17.77 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 68 games (+15.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 82 games (+15.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 39-47 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -11.84% ROI).

• 24-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.55 Units / -33.58% ROI
• 38-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -11.15% ROI
• 44-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 2.96% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 46-36 against the Run Line (+15.45 Units / 15.49% ROI).

• 52-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.77 Units / 16.89% ROI
• 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -2.03% ROI
• 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -6.2% ROI

Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .474 (18 GB hits out of 38 GBs) against Chris Flexen with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .690 (87 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: .429 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .379 (36 GB hits out of 95 GBs) against Chris Flexen with runners on base since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .255 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .321 (93-for-290) against Chris Flexen on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .391 (66-for-169) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .740 (125 Total Bases / 169 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .938 (471 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (230 Total Bases / 416 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 0 Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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